Good news for India: Skymet ups monsoon forecast to 109%

In more relief for India, Skymetpredicted ‘above normal’ Monsoon on the back of a waning announced by the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM), Australia.

Skymet sees Monsoon at 109% of the long period average (LPA) of 887 mm for the four-month period from June to September, versus initial estimate of 105%. August is seen at 113% and 123% in September.

Skymet suggests that Tamil Nadu, Northeast India and South Interior Karnataka will be at moderate risk through June, July, August and September.

Rain in Kolkata created new records as heavy showers lashed the city on Monday. In span of 24 hours, the city witnessed 56 mm of rain which is the highest rainfall in 24 hours during the last 10 years.

According to Jatin Singh, CEO, Skymet, “The El Nino is tapering off and it will collapse after the onset of Monsoon. It is not likely to have an adverse impact on the Monsoon performance”. There are more chances of getting into La-Nina in the later part of this year. Under the influence of the cyclone Roanu, Monsoon arrived before time over the Andaman and has also advanced further. Conditions are now favorable for its timely onset over Kerala.

BoM Australia today said that the El Nino has ended as the seas surface temperatures across the Pacific oceanhave cooled down to their neutral levels.

“The tropical Pacific Ocean has returned to a neutral El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) state. Sea surface temperatures across the tropical Pacific have cooled to neutral levels over the past fortnight, supported by much cooler-than-average waters beneath the surface,” stated the BoM release.

 

Source: Economic Time

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